UFC Fight Night 118 breakdown
After taking last weekend off, both the UFC and Bellator have shows this weekend. Bellator has a show Friday night live on SpikeTV. The event is BELLATOR 185 – MOUSASI VS. SHLEMENKO live from the Mohegan Sun Arena, Uncasville, Connecticut. Not many recognizable names outside of the main event where former UFC middleweight contender Gegard Mousasi takes on Alexander Shlemenko. First, let’s just look at the number of fights these two have. Shlemenko has 61 fights on his record and Mousasi has 50 fights to his. That is a TON of experience entering into the ring with 94 combined wins. This should be an exciting fight to watch, and it is on free TV so why not tune in and see what goes down. In the end, I see Mousasi being able to do his thing, take the back and choke him out like only he can do. I will not break down the rest of that event due to lack of name recognition, but I will say that this will be a good night of fights. Scott Coker has done a good job with the matchups on this card and it should be a lot of fun to watch.
UFC Fight Night 118 is live streaming on UFC Fight Pass from Gdnask, Poland starting with the prelims at 10:30am CDT and the main event starting at 2pm. If you are not familiar with FightPass it is the UFC’s own streaming service of their content and other organizations as well, there is also some original content like the “Contender Series” and “Looking for a fight”. The subscription is $9.99/month and you get access to shows like this one as well as a backlog of fights from the UFC, Pride, WEC, Invicta, EBI and many other organizations. It is a must for junkies like me, but if you just want to check it out you can sign up for a free 7 day trial and view this event for free and check out the library as well. Fair warning, if you are a fight-junkie, this rabbit hole goes deep and you might find yourself hours in before you know it. Alright, so let’s breakdown the main and co-main events.
Co-main event: (#3) Karolina Kowalkiewicz vs Jodie Esquibel
Jodie Esquibel has been in the sport for awhile mostly in Invicta and has a record of 6-1, but she has not faced the level of competition that Karolina Kowalkiewichz has. Karolina is coming off of two tough losses to Joanna Jedrzejczyk and Claudia Gadelha. Look for Karolina to come out in full on smash mode putting hands, elbows, knees and feet on Jodie and getting her out of there quickly and violently. I don’t see Jodie being able to close the distance enough to be effective with her striking, and I don’t see her being able to take her down which will make for short night. I see a left high kick finding Jodie’s head and ending the night quickly.
Official prediction: Karolina Kowalkiewichz def Jodie Esquibel via KO/TKO round 1
Main event: Donald “Cowboy” Cerrone vs Darren Till
This has the making of fight of the night material right out of the gate. Two guys that really like to fight and have a reputation for not quitting. I see this mostly being a stand-up fight, but both men have good ground games, so if someone gets tagged, a takedown would not be surprising. I’m looking at the odds for this fight on BETDsi, and they have this as almost a “pick-em” with Cowboy only a slight favorite. I think that is foolish, and I am going to take some of their money and I suggest you do as well. Don’t get me wrong, Darren has ways he can win this fight, but I think Cowboy has more, and I think he has the experience and toughness to win this one by decision. Look of a lot of back and forth, I don’t think cardio will be an issue for either fighter, Darren is only 24 and Cowboy even though he is 34 is in phenomenal shape. I see this one going the distance with Cowboy winning a close decision.
Official prediction: Donald “Cowboy” Cerrone def Darren Till by decision
That is it, that is how I see this going down. If you are looking to lay some money on the fights consider this. There is not enough of a line to justify a wager on either of these fights by themselves in my opinion. Consider doing a parlay bet with Karolina and Cerrone and you will double up if they both win. Good luck everyone!