How to use: Looking at this week you might be debating between flexing Jerick McKinnon and Juju Smith-Schuster. Over the past five weeks McKinnon has been an RB1 3 times and this week faces a Washington defense that has been giving above average performances to their opponents. In week 6 Carlos Hyde had 2 TD game against them wherein he caught 5 passes. You can see in the index that Washington is allowing RB1’s to score 2.76 points above their average. That number should be added to McKinnon’s expectation in Week 10
Juju is facing an Indianapolis team that seems like a great matchup. But when we look at what WR1’s and 2’s have done against them we see the WR1 on the team, in this case Antonio Brown, have had a lot of success. The Colts have only had one WR2 score above overall WR3 (36-48 overall) status. I see a windfall day for Antonio and not a lot of second reads from Big Ben. The Index shows a -1.20 for WR2’s against Indy, and that number should be subtracted from Juju’s expectation. In this case I’d start McKinnon, I think he has RB1 potential this week.
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QB No Halftime Challenge: Jared Goff over Tom Brady
I love picking on Tom in the QB challenge because of the #brand recognition. I also think that if there’s a QB people just expect to overcome a matchup it’s Tom Brady. To his credit, in the last 5 weeks he has been good for about 20 Fantasy Points rain or shine, regardless of opponent. He has been what Carson Palmer used to be.
On the other hand the young Jared Goff has a much wider range of outcomes from 11 points against Jacksonville to over 30 against the Giants. His opponent this week, the Texans, have been a boon to QB production. Russell Wilson, Jacoby Brissett, and Alex Smith have all seen QB1 weeks against them. At the same time they have depressed production from opposing RB’s, and that’ll be important if we want Goff and not Gurley on center stage.
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Ingram and Kamara
Dion Lewis and James White
RB No Halftime Challenge: Jerick McKinnon over Chris Thompson
McKinnon’s name hasn’t quite caught up with his production, especially over the last 5 weeks where he has been a top 5 back. This week he’s playing against the Redskins who have been a tough matchup in the passing game. His team may need him more than usual to keep the sticks moving in a game where Thielen and Diggs may struggle to see the light of day.
Thompson is on the other side of this coin as he is pretty well recognized as the Redskins lead back. While he may get the touches, they aren’t likely to go far against a Minnesota defense that has only allowed 1 RB1 in the last 5 weeks (Crowell, of all people) and as a whole the lead RB’s on those teams have scored about 5 PPR points below their own averages. Pass catching backs like DeMarco Murray, Javorious Allen, Duke Johnson, and Tarik Cohen haven’t fared any better. It’s just looking like a quiet week for Thompson.
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Jermaine Kearse and Robby Anderson
|Jordy Nelson and Davante Adams
Ebron and Fells
Brate and Howard
Charles C Clay
WR No Halftime Challenge Julio Jones over Deandre Hopkins
Julio isn’t your typical underdog but this year hasn’t been very kind to Julio with the new OC and #regression taking place in this offense. But we can capitalize and maybe catch a big game from Julio against Dallas. Dallas has recently allowed WR1 weeks to Jamison Crowder and Davante Adams, as well as a WR2 week to Tyreek Hill.
The opponent, Deandre Hopkins, has been on fire this season, but without Watson I think a lof the shine will be coming off his 2017 campaign, which isn’t exactly a hot take. Last week against Indianapolis, Hopkins was peppered with 16 targets and had a decent day. While people may be thinking this is a great sign for Hopkins, and I can’t really say I think 16 targets is a bad thing, he’s got a much tougher road ahead of him against the Rams. The Rams are one of the least favorable WR matchups despite the points they are scoring. In the past 5 weeks they have only allowed a WR2 game to Marqise Lee and no one else has even cracked WR3 territory
Chris Godwin – Evans is out, great matchup
Tre McBride- Trubisky has to throw to someone
Marquise Goodwin – The Giants are a better fantasy matchup than the Browns ever were
Sammy Watkins – Sooner or later he’s going to put a couple of games together
PLAY DRAFT TOP 10
Without too much explanation, these are the players I like this week for Draft. I typically play 2-6 man contests so the player pool isn’t very deep. I’ve used the index to generate a top 10 at each position.
As just a quick note about ADP on Draft, with this week’s rankings I’d expect some of the RB’s and QB’s I like to be available late. So I’d start WR heavy and hope to pick up Kamara, McKinnon, and a QB late.