Fantasy Football Week 9 DST Streamers
Written By: Josh Crocker – Follow Josh on Twitter @jccrocker
There are only 4 defenses in ESPN leagues that are above 90% owned. Three more are between 89 and 75%. The point being that you may be surprised by what you find on the wire. I have a low owned suggestion, but I also have some higher owned defenses that are worth checking for. As always if you’ve got a “Team X’ or the Streamer question you can find me on Twitter.
Above the Stream
– GB v IND –
Pressure on the QB leads to a lot of good things for opposing defenses and that’s at the root of this pick. More sacks than a grocery store is what you expect when you face the Colts. They have allowed 31 on the season. Their turnover numbers (3 fumbles and 5 INT’s) are actually pretty good, which is a testament to Andrew Luck and the other skill players because the offensive line’s numbers make them look very unskilled. On the opposite side of the neutral zone we find a Green Bay defensive line that is earning an adjusted sack rate of 8%, which is scary good at #4 (#1 is 9.4, not much difference). I would say Luck should be afraid, but he’s constantly under pressure. I think the Packers will be able to get to him and make some things happen. You are running the risk that Andrew Luck just cooks you and carves up this Green Bay secondary. So, having said that, there is some risk in this play but there’s enough upside to justify it in my opinion. It’s not a floor play. It is a gamble on a defensive TD.
– CAR v LA –
Despite their moment in the sun playing against Detroit, LA is the second worst offense in the league by DAVE outperforming only Houston. LA has allowed 13 turnovers and 16 sacks, neither of these are eye-popping numbers, but it’s enough to attract me when we’re also talking about a bad offense. While Carolina is definitely off of their elite defense pedestal, they have still managed to be a good run blocking unit, ranked 6th in the league. Their weakness is the pass game where they are allowing an average of 264 yards per game and have been pegged for 300+ yard days 3 different times. Carolina, being tough against the run, should be able to make LA a pretty one dimensional unit and force Keenum to beat them through the air. Keenum has only had one 300 yard day this year, against the worst pass defense in the league (Detriot). Keenum with the game on his shoulders is a lot less dangerous than Luck with the game on his shoulders. It seems like a favorable situation to me for Carolina, and if they’re available I think they’re a good option.
– Miami vs NYJ –
If this option isn’t available in your league, someone in your league owns Dolphins footy pajamas. But, assuming that they’re there let me tell you why they can get you through the week. The Dolphins are facing a bottom 5 offense in the Jets. And as Jason Garrett might tell us, the emergence of Jay Ajayi is going to allow the Dolphins to possess the ball more and take some pressure off of this defense. According to the Harris Index, defenses facing the Jets are scoring 4.5 points above their average (Miami’s average is 8.5). That has everything to do with the fact that the Jets have given up 17 turnovers, 17 sacks, & 4 defensive TD’s. The Jets are 28th in Points as an offense and 22nd in yards, and if you knew how much B Marsh I own you would also know that this makes me sad.
The Dolphins defensive team themselves are not a deplorable group, being a very middle of the road level squad. They get a pretty average pass rush with an adjusted sack rate of 6%, although protecting the QB is not really the Jets’ weakness. The hope here is that the Jets do Jet-like things and commit a few turnovers. Beyond all of that they are, of course, home favorites (with a spread of 3.5). Their opponent’s team total is a lowly 20.5. They’ll work in a pinch
Written By: Josh Crocker – Josh can be found on Twitter @jccrocker
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