Fantasy Football Tricks of the Trade with @TradeMastaur
Taking a Stand Edition
SEE!! I TOLD YOU THAT WAS GONNA HAPPEN!!!
Every year we scour through each player’s profile, every single ranking we can get our hands on, and every stat we can muster so we can scream at the world what we think is going to happen in fantasy football that year. The Fantasy Life App gives us a great place to sound off but so many of the comments get lost as the season moves on and you can swear to sky that you “called that happening” but for the life of you can’t remember where you said it. Well, here’s your chance to take a stand and let everyone know who’s going to boom or who’s going to bust.
Below are comments from Fantasy Life users detailing the guys they are going all in on or avoiding at all cost. I’ll be dropping the players I love all year, but I’m only one guy and as much as I don’t want to believe it, I’m going to get some wrong. So here’s your chance to let me know where your fantasy shares are headed this year and I’ll be dropping in commentary after each blurb. Enough is enough, let’s see who’s winning a title this year and who’s kidding themselves. Fantasy Football Tricks of the Trade – Taking a Stand!
Taking a Stand
Right off the bat here I’m buying what @nhsportsguy is selling with Gillislee. There has always been the narrative that the Patriots running back situation is a dangerous game to trust one guy, but when was the last time they had a RB who showed ball security and tough yard dominance before LaGarrette Blount? Does the name Lawrence Maroney trigger anyone out there? Gillislee may be a more talented back than Blount and like NH said he has pass catching skills. I’m liking his ADP of 6.02 as it feels like a steal at this point and I’m buying in as long as he doesn’t ascend past mid 5th. Someone say something about Rex Burkhead taking carries, I dare you.
2 for 2 here with the FLA users, I’m buying Watkins but with just a touch of a caveat. Sammy Watkins two years in the NFL have been a roller coaster. Oh by the way that’s not a typo, it’s only been two years. When Sammy came into the league he was touted as the next big thing in the NFL and that wasn’t just hype, this kid when healthy can absolutely dominate a game. Injury prone is the label he’s received from those 2 years but the overwhelming majority of that has been 1 foot issue that he has now had the 2nd surgery on as @rozay points out. When he says (that’s a good thing) he’s dead right. A Stress Fracture in the foot commonly needs 2 surgeries to help the player get back to full strength. Already in June he was out running with the first team and for all intents and purposes is ahead of schedule. So what’s the caveat? It’s simple, I’ll own Sammy but I’m keeping my exposure low. That foot still needs to be properly tested and too much of Watkins could sink your season if he goes down again. For Dynasty players, this may be the cheapest he will be in his entire career. If you can capitalize on that value, do it immediately.
Well we had a good run but @rruxin has found someone I’m am not buying even with house money and that’s Kelvin Benjamin. In my Rags To Riches articles I detailed that I’m liking Miller and Gurley to have strong bounce back seasons, but I just can’t get down with KB. Too often Benjamin feels like a one trick pony when I watch him play. Sloppy routes, sluggish off the line, and even the one thing he does do well, catching the contested ball, I never feel like he uses his size to the best of his advantage. It’s more of a situation where his big body gets in the way of the defender to aid him in the receptions oppose to him using it strategically. Add in more than a few news weapons in Carolina and Cam’s inconsistent accuracy and I see KB as a boom bust TD guy at best.
Hey listen, kink is kink. Who am I to tell @mr2013 who he can get down with? At least he didn’t come on here and try to tell me Eli Manning is worth a late round flier again this year.
I like this call but part of me remains skeptical of what exactly that passing offense is going to become in 2017. Glennon certainly has the job at the moment, but if he falls flat on his face in the first 4 weeks how soon until the draft capital legend Mitchell Trubisky steps into the fold? This offense is Jordan Howard’s, but typically a good running game creates opportunities for WR’s. 90 catches feels a touch bold, but again not completely without context. The upside here is Meredith is a solid value at this current ADP of 8.11. Players like Marvin Jones, Corey Davis, John Brown and DeSean Jackson are going in that range and I don’t feel like any of them necessarily have an emphatically better situation where you should pass on the Bears #1 target.
Lot of ways we could go with this argument but I feel like the best part to focus on is in fact the uncertainty of the offensive workload share as @threeeyedraven states here. At each phase of my thought process I kept noticing the trend of, “he could be”, or “they are saying they will” popping in my head. For instance, reports are that Cam will see less goal line work, but when they are trailing 21-14 in the 4th and it’s 3rd and goal, we will see how committed they are to that new game plan. Another was McCaffrey “could be” a PPR monster “if” they decide to use the short passing game more effectively. The Panthers offense has not been one to share the passing targets with RB’s, so you’d be drafting on faith that this notion comes to fruition. Truth is, I’m a believer in McCaffrey’s talent as well and I will probably have a share or two if he falls into the mid late 4th but his current ADP of 3.11 should concern you with a high level of uncertainty of what that offense is going to look like in 2017.
There’s no way I’m disagreeing with my better half here. I’m taking such a hard stance on Alshon that most people don’t want to be too close to me when I talk about him. Doug Pederson’s offense is a big play offense; you just wouldn’t know that because there was no one to catch a cold let alone a ball in Philly last year. Jeffrey is a true #1 X style receiver that is going to have a true #1 WR workload. ADP is what it’s all about this time of year and at 3.12 guys like Amari Cooper, Demaryius Thomas, Allen Robinson, and Brandin Cooks are going almost a full round before him in some cases. Stop sleeping on the Eagles guys. I know I’m a homer but I’ll also admit when this team isn’t cut out for the season. I’m still saying the Eagles offense will be the most improved in football this year and Alshon is going to be the sails to that ship.
One thing you may not know about me yet; if you tell me not to do something I become infinitely more inclined to do exactly that. Plus with @andrew9 being so incredibly angry all of the time maybe this will actually lighten his mood a touch. His call on Baldwin however is a good one and that’s why it’s here. Baldwin’s ADP is right on that 3rd round cusp at 2.11 so I’d personally like to see him fall into the middle of the 3rd to buy in completely as there are a few guys in that range I like the upside of a bit more.
Ok, a simple “wrong’ would’ve done just fine, but thanks. I don’t remember mentioning anything about the industrial revolution’s affect on modern literature so I’ll just focus on the top part. Calling Tyreek “Devin Hester 2.0” feels just a bit harsh and I think that’s @scas62’s point here… I think. Hester was a kick returning legend but never really showed much on the offensive side of the ball. Hill has shown he can make a play at the line of scrimmage and Andy Reid is set on that passing attack relying on him for the big plays. With that said I’m absolutely in wait and see mode with Hill. I’m perfectly fine allowing someone else to take a chance on him in redraft and deal with the possible boom/bust production of a player like TyFreak.
Having “first shot” at a job is important, but this league is all about production. I’m not saying neither guy will produce, I just don’t like going in with that mentality as my main argument for a player. I’m much more inclined to give Paul Perkins a shot this year oppose to Ty Montgomery and that’s based solely on what they will cost. TyMont is going to be a 4th round pick where as Perkins is going in the back of the 6th/early 7th. Neither guy screams “league winner” to me and both still have some weighted risk around them. TyMont has a duo of young backs in Jamaal Williams and Aaron Jones behind him that will be pressuring him to perform and could threaten early down work. Perkins has Vereen, Darkwa, and rookie Gallman ready for their opportunities too. If last year is any indicator neither team will produce a top 10 back in rush yards and red zone touches seem to be on lock down with two of the best receiving cores in football.
@chiruxin took the time to offer some writes ups on players he’s taking a stand on by way of my e-mail address TradeMFLA@gmail.com.
@chiruxin: Jordan Howard – The Bears shockingly have a top-10 (possibly top-5) offensive line and it all starts with their interior. Howard excelled running through the interior of the line last season and was one of the best in the league at gaining yards after contact. I do not foresee him having a sophomore slump. Add in his eye surgery to correct his vision, his offseason workouts and this guy ends up as a top-10 fantasy RB in 2017.
Every day I become more on board with Jordan Howard. He was a guy I wrote about in the pre season last year as a talent I wanted to own and has done nothing but impress when he touches the ball. That offense is going through Howard and I do believe he becomes a 3 down do it all elite back with the Lasik surgery performed on his eyes as @chiruxin mentioned.
@chiruxin: Willie Snead – Snead is currently going as the WR32 and 67th overall in the FantasyPros consensus ADP rankings. I love that price for a guy who will end up as a solid WR2 and has upside to be a WR1. With Brandin Cooks gone, Snead should see more targets. Add in the fact that Michael Thomas should see all the top defensive talent, Snead has one of the easiest schedules for a wide receiver this year. This is Snead’s third season in the NFL and that is when wide receivers typically start to break out. Over his two seasons, Snead has averaged 70 catches, 939 yards, and three touchdowns. Touchdowns can be fluky and if he can score six or more this season, his value would be through the roof!
Snead is another full force target for me identified by @chiruxin. I wanted my Eagles to land Snead at the end of last season before the Brandin Cooks deal to NE went down. The ADP could begin to rise a touch but he’s so low at this point Willie could jump a full round and I will still be interested in adding him as my WR3. Love the call and I can see Snead and Tyler Lockett being my two most owned WR’s this year in my 6 redraft leagues as I already have six dynasty shares of Lockett and three of Snead.
The Wrap Up
With that, The Tricks Of The Trade: Taking a Stand Edition is in the books. We had a lot of strong opinions on players that are continuing to open my eyes to new draft strategies. I’m looking forward to how some of these players pan out, and now you guys are locked into these calls. There’s nothing like going back and seeing what you thought pre-season compared to the reality that is the ever changing week to week NFL season. I just recently looked back at some guys I took a stand on last year and by and large I liked my calls but there were some guys I’m still left shaking my head about. Thanks to everyone who took the time to throw their two cents on my shout and the overall enthusiasm for the concept in general. I very much enjoyed this format and hope you guys will keep them coming for my next one.
Look out for more Fantasy Football Tricks Of The Trade articles just like this one in the coming weeks and what should be a weekly standard once the season starts. Asking others for opinions is a great way to think outside of your own mind and even check yourself if you’re too high or too low on a certain player. I’ll be using this format most weeks to keep users engaged and also show non-Fantasy Life App users that find their way to my articles the kind of community we have created. You can find me on the Fantasy Life App as @trademastaur and let me know your thoughts anytime as well. I always believe that we get better at fantasy by talking about it with each other and debating. The more data, more perspectives, and more strategies you learn the better you’ll be prepared when the draft and season come along. So pop into Clock Dodgers chat and give me your worst, I can take it.
From the little man and me, until next time.
Chat with me on the Fantasy Life App @trademastaur
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