How to Use: Add or Subtract the value in the table above from your player’s average, or from your expectation for that player.
For instance Marcus Mariota is averaging about 18 points. However, this week facing the Browns we add 5.56 to that average, putting him around 23.56 fantasy points. On the other hand Cam Newton is averaging 24 ppg. This week he’s facing Chicago who is surprisingly bad for QB’s. Their QB value of -4.10 puts him below 20 points. I would start Mariota over Cam.
|QB Upgrades||QB Downgrades|
|M Mariota +5.56 v CLE
CJ Beathard +5.15 v DAL
B Bortles +6.28 v IND
M Ryan +4.25 v NE
|J Winston -5.09 v BUF
C Newton -4.10 v CHI
P Rivers -3.15 v DEN
A Dalton -5.09 v PIT
E Manning -3.76 v SEA
No Halftime QB Challenge: Marcus Mariota Over Cam Newton
In weeks 2-6 the Browns have allowed 3 QB1 finishes for their opponents, allowing over 30 fantasy points to Andy Dalton and Jacoby Brissett. Even against tough matchups like Jacksonville and Seattle Mariota has managed 16 and 21 points which were solid QB2 numbers. I would not be surprised to see him go over 30 points if the hamstring holds up. And then we have Chicago, and while they have been a friendly matchup for RB1’s they have not allowed a single QB1 finish in this 5 week period. I think it has more to do with game script than anything, but the end result is the same. Cam has been hot lately, and most recently against a Philadelphia pass defense that is at least average. But he was slowed considerably by Buffalo and Houston. I’m betting that Cam doesn’t need to put out a big performance and its more of a J Stew game.
|RB Upgrades||RB Downgrades|
|New England RB +3.40 v ATL
C Hyde +7.11 v DAL
CJ Anderson +3.2 v LAC
A Peterson +4.01 v LAR
L McCoy + 9.32 v TB
|M Gordon -2.76 v DEN
M Lynch -2.9 v KC
Forte / McGuire -3.58 v MIA
J Allen -7.73 v MIN
No Halftime RB Challenge: Lesean McCoy over Melvin Gordon
Last weeks RB1 overall has quite a task ahead of him playing against Denver. The Broncos have only allowed a max of RB2 on the week and famously held Ezekiel Elliott to under 10 fantasy points. There is a little hope in the fact that one of the two who’ve managed an RB2 finish was LeSean McCoy who caught 7 passes in that contest. Melvin caught 9 last week against Oakland and if he gets that kind of work he could be “ok” for owners hoping he can still be the stud they’ve counted on thus far. The alternative to hoping Melvin eeks out an RB2 week that doesn’t sink you is LeSean McCoy, who has the best RB matchup on the slate. The Buccs have been destroyed by Dalvin Cook, and also Adrian Peterson. I don’t think they’ll have an answer for LeSean McCoy either.
|WR Upgrades||WR Downgrades|
|C Hogan/ B Cooks +1.77 v ATL
P Garcon +4.78 v DAL
Crabtree/ Cooper +6.22 v KC
T Pryor +2.35 v PHI
|AJ Green -2.96 v PIT
A Jeffery -6.19 v WAS
TY Hilton -1.77 v JAC
No Halftime WR Challenge Michael Crabtree over Alshon Jeffery
Truth be told I’d really like to make an Amari Cooper challenge, but I’m too big of a chicken. Crabtree on the other hand seems like money in the bank against KC that has given up WR1 games to Antonio Brown, Deandre Hopkins and Alshon Jeffery. Meanwhile Crabtree has put up 3 top 12 weeks of his own against BAL, LAC, and the Jets. I’d really like to see Amari get right, or as right as you can get in a game, but the Bank of Crabtree is where I’m putting my money. Alshon is not enjoying the same circumstances that allowed him to show his top 12 ceiling like he did against KC. On the contrary, the best WR finish against Washington’s secondary in the last 5 weeks was WR2 by Aldrick Robinson. Beyond that only Pierre Garcon and Albert Wilson have even cracked 10 PPR points. It’s rough out there. And, of all the No Halftime challenges I’ve thrown out this one was accepted first.
Streamers and Flyers
CJ Beathard – If you’re a QB and you’re playing Dallas you get a gift bag from Jerry Jones with 20 fantasy points in it.
Kyle Rudolph – This is more of a DFS move, because I know he’s not on anybody’s waiver wire. Baltimore is the reason Marcedes Lewis was a thing for a week
Hunter Henry – He has been stepping it up running a lot of routes. Maybe it’s time for him to have the lion’s share of the TE action in this offense. The lone soft spot in the Denver defense seems to be TE, so if you’ve got him start him and throw him in a lineup or two
Vernon Davis – As Jordan Reed struggles with whatever it is Vernon since week 2 has been TE1, TE1, BYE, TE2. This week he sees Philadelphia who hasn’t been terrible, but if he’s available he’s got potential
- Points For Free
- Fantasy Crock-Pot
- Hate or Wait
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